Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000069 0.000080 0.000091 0.000104 0.000118 0.000132 0.000149
2024-12-15 0.000056 0.000070 0.000086 0.000104 0.000126 0.000150 0.000178
2024-12-22 0.000046 0.000062 0.000080 0.000103 0.000130 0.000161 0.000199
2024-12-29 0.000038 0.000055 0.000076 0.000102 0.000135 0.000172 0.000219
2025-01-05 0.000033 0.000050 0.000072 0.000101 0.000138 0.000182 0.000238
2025-01-12 0.000027 0.000045 0.000068 0.000099 0.000139 0.000188 0.000251
2025-01-19 0.000023 0.000039 0.000062 0.000095 0.000138 0.000191 0.000261
2025-01-26 0.000019 0.000035 0.000059 0.000092 0.000138 0.000196 0.000273
2025-02-02 0.000017 0.000034 0.000058 0.000094 0.000144 0.000208 0.000294
2025-02-09 0.000015 0.000031 0.000056 0.000094 0.000147 0.000215 0.000309
2025-02-16 0.000015 0.000032 0.000058 0.000098 0.000156 0.000232 0.000336
2025-02-23 0.000013 0.000029 0.000056 0.000097 0.000158 0.000238 0.000350
2025-03-02 0.000011 0.000026 0.000053 0.000096 0.000159 0.000245 0.000366
2025-03-09 0.000009 0.000024 0.000051 0.000096 0.000163 0.000255 0.000386
2025-03-16 0.000008 0.000022 0.000049 0.000094 0.000165 0.000263 0.000403
2025-03-23 0.000006 0.000020 0.000047 0.000094 0.000167 0.000271 0.000421
2025-03-30 0.000005 0.000018 0.000045 0.000093 0.000169 0.000279 0.000439
2025-04-06 0.000004 0.000016 0.000042 0.000090 0.000169 0.000283 0.000451
2025-04-13 0.000003 0.000014 0.000039 0.000087 0.000166 0.000284 0.000459
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000013 0.000037 0.000084 0.000166 0.000287 0.000470
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000012 0.000037 0.000086 0.000172 0.000300 0.000496
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000011 0.000035 0.000086 0.000174 0.000308 0.000513
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000011 0.000037 0.000090 0.000184 0.000328 0.000548